Data from Statistics Canada indicates a notable shift in travel preferences among Canadians this spring, as air travel to the United States has significantly decreased. The latest figures reveal that return air trips from the US fell by 19.9% in April 2025 compared to the same month the previous year. In stark contrast, overseas air travel experienced an increase of 9.9% during the same period.
Changing Travel Landscape
The shift in travel habits is reflected in passenger numbers. In April 2025, approximately 1.3 million Canadians traveled back home from overseas destinations, while just 582,700 returned from the US. This disparity highlights an emerging preference for international travel over domestic trips.
Major Decline in Cross-Border Vehicle Travel
In addition to dwindling air travel, the trend also extends to vehicle travel, with a staggering 35.2% drop in Canadian return trips from the US by car compared to April 2024. This marks the fourth consecutive month of decline, making the reduction in April even more pronounced than what was observed in March, where the numbers shrank by 31.9%.
Factors Influencing Travel Choices
Experts attribute this ongoing trend to several factors, including dissatisfaction with US administration policies. Frederic Dimanche, Director of Toronto Metropolitan University’s Ted Rogers School of Hospitality and Tourism Management, pointed to the “disrespect” exhibited towards Canada through comments such as labeling it a “51st state” and the impact of tariffs. Additionally, the unfavorable exchange rate between the Canadian dollar and US dollar has contributed to many travelers reconsidering their cross-border plans.
Dimanche further noted that increasing concerns about the complexities and potential risks associated with border crossings are influencing Canadians’ travel decisions. This apprehension, he believes, may lead to a continued decline in travel to the US.
Recent Trends and Airline Adjustments
The predictions made by Dimanche appear to be accurate. A recent analysis from National Bank of Canada corroborates the trends, showing that travel to the United States has plummeted, with land travel down by 34% and air travel reduced by 17% since January.
Responding to the shifting landscape, Canadian airlines have begun scaling back their expansion plans to the US. Instead, they are increasing flight offerings to Europe and Asia. These changes are a direct response to Canadian travelers’ desires for warmer climates outside the US, with airlines now prioritizing new destinations that meet that demand.
Growth in European and Caribbean Destinations
John Gradek, an expert in supply networks and aviation from McGill University, highlighted the rise in service to European and Caribbean locations. As airlines adapt their schedules, they are better equipped to accommodate the changing preferences of Canadian travelers seeking summer sun away from traditional US hotspots.
Ultimately, as Canadians alter their travel habits, the data indicates a compelling pivot towards international destinations. This trend not only reflects changing sentiments but also presents an opportunity for airlines to reshape their offerings to meet evolving consumer demands.
